eurozone will collapse this year, says nouriel

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/financialcrisis/9046365/Eurozone-will-collapse-this-year-says-Nouriel-Roubini.html



Eurozone will collapse this year, says Nouriel Roubini

Nouriel Roubini, the economist credited with having foreseen the credit crunch, has warned that the eurozone will collapse within the year - with Greece and Portugal leaving







Nouriel Roubini predicted the bubble in US housing prices before the market peaked in 2006









By Angela Monaghan, and Richard Fletcher, Davos

12:44PM GMT 28 Jan 2012



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“The eurozone is a slow-motion train wreck,” Mr Roubini said. “Countries – and not just Greece – are insolvent. I think Greece will leave the eurozone in the next 12 months, and Portugal after.”


The New York University professor of economics was speaking at one of the final sessions of the World Economic Forum annual meeting in Davos.


“There is a 50pc chance that the eurozone will break up in the next three to five years. This doesn’t look like a G20 world it looks like a G-Zero world because there is no agreement on global imbalances, how to change the international monetary system, international trade, banking regulation, on all the fundamental issues.”


The economist also warned that if the US and Iran went to war, oil prices would spike 50pc and there’ll be a global recession.


“In the UK there is recession, even the US is not doing great, in India there’s a slowdown and they’re worried about that. In China, exports, infrastructure investment, real estate is slowing down, so there’ll be a significant slowdown in China this year,” he concluded.