Agree with your logic re. 7,500 to 8,000 bopd for the rest of 2022.
Base case likely to be higher IMO due to
- conservative Chinese forecast - they want get their bonus.
Of course this also so means that it may be below expectations.
- nature of the field makes forecast difficult - so be more conservative
I am talking the 50% probability case. .
Additional Upside
There are two exploration wells into the more productive Weizhou sandsBoth of these wells could add 2,000+ bopd, 4,000+ bopd if both are discoveries.
- A7.- Water Injector, but producer in success case (result June)
- A8 - if approved 12-8-SE (result July?)
12-8-E Cash Margin
I believe that Operating Costs will be higher at 12-8-E as it is based on a PSC.
Certainly throwing off a lot of cash even in the conservative case.
And it will very likely be much, much better
Will be crystal clear in the September Quarterly.
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- EV 175. Quarterly cash flow of 38- 39 m
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