Greenbushes, the only profitable Australian mine at current...

  1. 23,376 Posts.
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    Greenbushes, the only profitable Australian mine at current #lithium spot price of US$760 per tonne.

    https://x.com/giginator_/status/1831483965779406997

    ...Mt Caitlin the latest C&M casualty, Kathleen Valley (LTR) next (on the cost curve)?

    ....if you are lithium mine operator now, the share price may be less relevant than survival and cash preservation.

    ....as I had mentioned in my post earlier, lithium producers have 2 choices under current conditions
    1) put their mines into C&M to preserve cash or 2) produce at a loss
    Electing option (1) would crash the stock price but satisfy the objective of preserving cash
    Electing option (2) would drain cashflow that may in turn require a need to do a discounted CR

    ....so its either a quick crash and bottoming OR a protracted train wreck.

    ...I believe both LTR and PLS are opting for the latter option, which provides immediate and ample time to get out and stay aside.
 
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