And yet those who drive the average or less kms/year will not...

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    And yet those who drive the average or less kms/year will not necessarily inclined to purchase an EV.

    And those who drive more than the average will have a higher inclination.
    You also do not factor in any increase in fuel prices over 5 years.

    So the model from @Dochico has more validity than you suggest.
 
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