Expected Price

VLU Prevalence 1% in USA
Population 300,000,000
VLU Population 3,000,000
Cost per dose AU$70.00

Assume a mere 10% market penetration
3,000,000 x 10% = 300,000

For a 12 week course
300,000 x 70.00 x 12 = 252,000,000
Thus, Revenue = AU$252,000,000

Assume net profit before tax of 16%
252,000,000 x 16% = 40,320,000
Thus, NPBT = AU$40,320,000

Outstanding shares ~ 450,000,000
40,320,000 / 450,000,000 = 0.0896
Thus EPS = 8.96cents

Assume average Price earnings ratio of 12 for a modearte growth company
12 x 0.0896 = 1.075
Thus, Price = AU$1.075

Calculation based on best estimates