If the people make enough noise, Labor might be faced with a choice to go to an election now knowing they will lose but at least not losing so badly or stay on and get completely destroyed at the next election.
It depends how badly they want to protect their brand in the long term.
But as you say Yaq, lets wait to see if the fat lady sings. :)
ESG will most likely get attacked irrespective of the tax.
What the world needs now is gas, sweet gas La de da de dum de dum de da :)
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