The two party preferred stakes are such that, on any given day...

The two party preferred stakes are such that, on any given day were an election to be held, Labor would win. I recall the Howard days, where prior to an election, the Coalition had similar margins, and would win - because on election day voters weigh up the opposition, and vote with what they know, and reject the unknown - which in the case of the current opposition is quite dramatic.

Abbott would have to be replaced if the opposition were to gain government.

IMHO