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Akki

35,599 Posts.

533

10/02/16

19:30

Post #: 16989176
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Originally posted by cara ↑

stats can be very hard to work to..... the fav can change in 1 hour before the race 10 mins b4 the race etc last 10 secs of betting.....?
I saw stats done years ago over a long period by I think Don Scott but it was for various Starting Price odds groups from Odds On out to 100/1.
The gap between the real winning odds and the bet odds got wider the longer the price ...100/1 bet real winning chances were 200/1....but a 3/1 SP real winning chances were 7/2. The theory was get 4/1 on something that starts at 3/1. If it was Don Scott he ended up committing suicide presumedly broke although did well for many years putting in Tax returns.(could have been a guy called Rem Plante) .
The guy id love to talk to is the Mona Gallery owner who appears to have been able to make millions off and on over 30 odd years ?

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..... the fav can change in 1 hour before the race 10 mins b4 the race etc last 10 secs of betting.....?

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Ranogajec only ever bets in markets with liquidity and ones he can bet very late ie final seconds before they jump.

Last edited by Akki: 10/02/16
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