FAR 0.00% 49.5¢ far limited

FAN-1 Discovery, page-112

  1. 262 Posts.
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    A$10/bbl NPV basis would be better. A starting guesstimate for recovery (= saleable) bbls would be 30% (??) -> P50 950MM STOOIP * 30% * 15% FAR share = 43 MMSTB ~ $0.16 (using 2700 MM shares).

    Given the now upgraded value of the rest of the Senegal acreage (no longer moose pasture) I reckon the current market price is low especially if you take into account a $0.03 "base" value. I've put my money where my mouth is this morning and bought more at $0.13 - taking a punt on the other prospects and upside volumes. 50-50 though - volumes could disappoint on the downside and recoveries could be much lower if the various sands don't connect.

    My uninformed opinion only - DYOR
 
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