I have to defer to your vastly greater knowledge and experience...

I have to defer to your vastly greater knowledge and experience and I like the way you go more by experience, acuity and gut feeling. I would trust that before some chart. But you know how the exception often proves the rule? My gut feeling- and its a strong one- tells me that this the 8th year of the decade where it does NOT crash. But its only a gut feeling and obviously could be wrong. Lets see at the end of the year if I am correct. BTW people shouldn't take my read on it as it is only a gut feeling. I take on board your warning about a dead cat bounce. Maybe this time as in Fawlty Towers the cat lives and is off to London to see the queen. If the cat lives it might just land on its feet with 8 more lives to go. Still I am likely wrong. Just a gut feeling.