FBR 0.00% 2.4¢ fbr ltd

I absolutely assign a probability rating when assessing...

  1. 1,434 Posts.
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    I absolutely assign a probability rating when assessing risk.
    This is just simple best practice stuff. Nothing special here.

    I have said before, there is a difference between risk and uncertainty.
    You want to maximise your bet when risk is low and uncertainty is high.
    Markets hate uncertainty and therefore the best opportunities are offered up where uncertainty is high.
    If you still consider risk and uncertainty to be the same then you have a lot of learning to do.

    One extreme/simplified scenario would be:
    Stock trading for 2 times Fair Value of Net Tangible assets. Risk = low.
    Stock Operating Profit = 10m with 25% probability, 50m with 50% probability, 150m with 205% probability. Uncertainty = high.
    Classic low risk high uncertainty scenario.
    You may want to do some research into this area to learn more.

    In any case, you are quick to throw out wild statistics but you haven't even acknowledge the specific fundamentals around FBR.
    90% of businesses may be scams, but am I invested in 90% of businesses? Is anyone?
    Mate, you need to stop deflecting with crazy conspiracies and see things with an unbiased rational mindset.
    Stop being a puppet for your shonky puppet master pulling your strings.
    Get a job that you can be proud of. Is the dollar value you are earning making up for the cost on your being? Only you can decide but you only live once so make it count.

    Not investment advice. Do your own research. This is not investment advice. I could be wrong, etc etc.

 
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