GXY 0.00% $5.28 galaxy resources limited

the problem in general is that Australian exploration companies...

  1. 1,258 Posts.
    the problem in general is that Australian exploration companies have no standard for reporting a PFS.

    But in general I would say the data provided are sufficient to get a 'head on' decision for Mt. Cattlin and this it what a PFS is about.

    I get revenues of 70mln A$ with costs supposed to be 33mln A$. This will give us an operating cashflow of 37mln A$ for at least 12 years of operation. This is within my expectations.

    40mln A$ capex is lower than I expected.

    Let's further assume

    - a project overhead of 3mln A$
    - depreciation of 2mln A$ (50% debt / 50% equity financing)
    - fincial costs 1.5mln A$
    - 30% tax

    Based on an operating cashflow of 37mln A$ I calculate as follows:

    EBITDA 34m A$
    EBIT 32m A$
    EBT 30.5m A$
    NPAT 21.35m A$

    We currently have 55mln share FD and will get 35mln additional shares depending on share price for further exploration and 50% project financing (=90 mln shares).

    Based on 21.35m A$ and 90mln shares I get 23.7c/share eps.

    Even if you take the lowest case you still get 13c/share eps.

    Let's assume for a second GXY won't have the Mt. Cattlin project. I bet the company would be valued at least at 10-12 mln A$ for rhe other Ravensthorpe project, the Fe-complex at Schoemaker and the other projects.

    The best thing is the low capex in my view that allows an quick pay back of a potential debt finance within two years from initial production.

    Will calculate a NPV later and get back to you.

    Lenni

 
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