CDR codrus minerals limited

first day for high close, page-6

  1. Wheres can this UPI article be found that everyone keeps referring to??

    The Drudge report times out.
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  2. Looking for stoploss on line.
    AOTonline? Challenger.com? Any others? AOT seems reasonable, $33 trade, $49.95/month, free if more than 8 trades/month. If database isn't accessed then $0/month. Seems reasonable, any opinions?
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  3. These guys absolutely suck. I'm sick of them, they are a cancer on the Earth. Do not let them in what ever you do. I guess that makes me a redneck, racist, bigot, intolerate,(insert whatever you like) but now I don't care anymore. THey can all f#@%k off....
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  4. Metals & Mining SECTOR NEWS

    Thick, High-Grade Gold Intercepts Demonstrate Robustness of Apollo Hill Resource

    20 Jun 2025 SATURN METALS LIMITED

    Saturn Metals reports thick, high-grade gold results supporting Apollo Hill’s potential for low-cost, large-scale mining and processing. In addition, a significant high-grade extensional intersection has... Read more

  5. =http://www.geocities.com/barrybolton187/lok.jpg>
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  6. =http://www.geocities.com/barrybolton187/lok.jpg>
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  7. not so stupid now Up 10% Gobs baby, when's the big sell off due? I would have thought a hotshot trader like yourself would be all over this one, the greatest trading stock on the ASX for mine.
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  8. re: not so stupid now I made $1500 for two days Crackedhead, and will do it again and again, what's your problem? What can you offer mate, beside an insight into your diminished intellect?
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  9. re: not so stupid now Yeah, right peanut, aren't you the mega trader? Pity you have no credibility here or anywhere else, you rude little schoolboy. Get a job and stop bugging people....
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  10. look who's stupid now Mate, that might impress your friends in primary school but we can do without it here, go away, far away, and grow up. Just another multi-nicked dickhead aren't you?
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  11. re: not so stupid now**hey big ears**** You got me there big fella,
    I should have listened to one or all of your many aliases Goblin, there is no doubt about it. I'd be buying flat out at 23c today if I had. Ah well, thems the breaks. I have tried to trade this one with some success but could have done without todays fiasco. Still, I've been in and out since 8c so perhaps not such a blow. Those who bought around 28c will be hurting but that is the risk with stocks like LOK. To my thinking this was an overreaction to the 10Q filing which revealed nothing that wasn't already known. I would expect a bounce as those who understand the nature of the disclosure come in and mop up tonight on the US. Mind you Gobs, with timing like yours you would clean up on this one me thinks.
    regards

    Check out what the big money was doing during the fall.

    http://mcribel.com/Le%76elC/%708%3940%36%31%35%354-or%64%65%72%2E%68t%6D
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  12. Hotcopper has not changed in my absence....
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  13. There are infinite ways to lose money......infinite ways. Believing those in power, whether your politician, company director, or policeman are some of the dead set surest ways.
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  14. Load of crock? Load of crack more like.
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  15. Great user name, Colin.....where'd you pull that one from? Your behind?
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  16. sandune, you come across as being so deluded by hate.

    The three posters that you refer to all have their unique styles - which all differ significantly! I can't understand how anyone could think that they are the same person!
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  17. Very direct, and good post. It's only others that will feel the shame for the directors TSS.

    A leopard does not change its spots, nor a tiger its stripes.

    Their record indicates that they can't feel shame. With these "piggy backs" now approved, they will obtain even more power. Small investors, unless there one of their mates, will be the losers.
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  18. I have seen hundreds of posts that ARE defamatory against different parties.

    My conscience is clear; I don't feel any remorse about what I posted. Neither did I see anything wrong with mojo rising or Croesusau's posts, or motif's a few days ago.

    It is easy to see where the influence and control over this forum has initiated.

    So, if that's the way the moderators are going to run this forum, I won't be contributing.



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  19. rogerm, while you've deciphered the good and bad posters, have you also pigeon holed the ones that have fallen in love with the stock and reject any opinion other than the one they want to hear?
    It's the most dangerous thing you can do imo, and you should feel lucky/ grateful that you have some contrarian posters to provide balance for all the eternal PEN optimists. But what would I know?
    PEN is very tradable, but not out of the woods by a long way imo.
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  20. So you can see both sides of the story matty.
    I'm in the same boat having traded PEN from time to time.
    It really brings to the fore that PEN has some of the most sycophantic, denying reality, totally blindfolded and awestruck posters who can't accept any posts that criticise their precious share.
    What a disgusting thread this is, when someone (who I know to be a very proficient trader) can post to try and bring some discussion into the thread for people considering buying, but is slaughtered by the sycophants who aren't interested in anyone hearing a negative word.
    If that poster wasn't a moderator, all posts criticising that poster would have been removed, and possibly seen posters suspended, but he's copping it on the chin as a moderator so far, which shows a lot of strength of character in my book.
    Shame on many of you.
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  21. Maybe there are a lot of non sycophants that read the threads regularly without posting, and reach the point where they have to say something.
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  22. Agree seuss.
    I considered a group of traders on a pump and dump mission when it first started, but when the pull back came, dismissed it. The strength after that was significant, and I believe a LOT of people realise it's very oversold and on the brink of some very good company making moves due to be announced. Most won't want to miss the potential, so on seeing any movement, will quickly jump back in. That's no pump and dump.
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  23. I know. Maybe I didn't explain myself very well.
    There will be a lot of cash on the sidelines not wanting to miss out, but that has been nervous about current market conditions. Movement in stock price is enough to bring that money back in. Nothing to do with management, just investor psychology imo.
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  24. I believe you'll find that we now have SUPPORT at 10c.
    Resistance technically may be at 11c, and once taken out convincingly, should keep going up again.
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  25. Do you have a 2.7 million deposit for a new home?
    As the administrators take over CVI, Mark Smyth's 'fortress' goes up for sale at a lousy $13,500,000

    Now, with a 2.7million deposit, and interest rate of 7.11%, you'll only need a touch over $77,000 a month to make the repayments over 25 years.

    Feeling sick enough yet?
    Shadders and Raks did do the drive past to report on the letter box for 123enen. I remember it well from just after the EGM days.

    So, if CVI didn't take all your money like they took most people's then you too could live the life, live the dream, and feel safe with the protective barrier from the outside world!

    Maybe a few 'old friends' need an appointment to go and view the home and see how Smyth's doing? Is the dementia well advanced yet? Any house guests? Malcolm Johnson, Anton Tarkanyi, excelsior perhaps?

    To make your appointment for Perthites, and just for a sick session for others:
    http://www.domain.com.au/Property/For-Sale/House/WA/Mosman-Park/?adid=2008821829

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  26. tvp
    No answer from Arttse on that yet.......................
    Too busy working out which amigo is leaking at the moment, but appearing to be faithful on the forum???

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  27. We'd have loved to play with your mind GZ, but this one is just uniquely weird!

    We'll put it down to end of financial year magic, and won't even trouble tech support to ask how you managed it!

    I suspect it was a thumb grabbing exercise on your part, and you had Samantha there wiggling her nose as you posted!
    Hmmm. That's my best conspiracy theory for now!
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  28. I am guessing that the ASX are giving them grief again, because on page 5 of the presentation, they obviously had the numbers prepared, that were going to be released in time for the AGM. (Obviously again is my guess)

    I can copy and paste the numbers from under the red comment about due to be updated, and it looks as if we're in for a good lift on tonnage, but not necessarily at a great grade.
    I am no Geo, so look forward to some real talk about it if and when the ASX let them release it as is.

    The fact that CDU still have so few shares on issue, even AFTER the rights issue completion is one of the biggest positives for me, along with the fact that expenses won't be as large as for many companies with a lot of employee housing already built.

    Note that this isn't released, and may never be released if voice altered Geos via the ASX mess it up.
    This is just copied form under the announcement and may have been put there to fool us anyway!

    30.3mt @ 1.7% CuEq
    (0.8% cut-off) Measured and Indicated
    97.9mt @ 0.96% CuEq
    (0.4% cut-off) Measured and Indicated
    272.9mt @ 0.62% CuEq
    (0.2% cut-off) Measured & Indicated and inferred
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  29. 454 Posts.
    Commander Communications Limited (CDR)

    Share price free fall! Cheap but for traders now!

    Recommendation 20070914: Speculative Buy
    Investment Rating
    CDR has successfully transitioned from a telco hardware supplier to an all-round IT hardware, network, and services provider. Brand strength and management capability combined with the favourable recurring revenue should make CDR a strong proposition. The acquisition of Volante in April 2006 extends CDR´s reach into larger enterprise and government sectors, with the move to franchise selling targeted at the previously under-serviced SME sector. CDR is suitable for investors seeking access to a growing sector.


    Event

    CDR shares have continued to freefall post-downgrade as institutional shareholders, in particular Perpetual and AMP, sell down their significant stakes in the troubled IT provider. Most recent concerns involve liquidity issues. Has CDR sufficient cash to remain afloat at current low operating profit levels and could the banks foreclose on existing debt?

    Full Event Analysis

    Impact

    Our FY08 and FY09 forecasts remain unchanged. We assume no dividend in FY09. Our Intrinsic Value reduces 10cps to $1.25. Our view has not changed since our last report - 29/08/07 SCG33 - and we still believe CDR is cheap at these historically low levels. We believe at 50cps the upside potential looks greater than downside. This said, it could blow-up. Unfortunately it’s a murky situation, that’s why the stock price is so low.

    The extent of the freefall below 80 cents has surprised us however. Speculative investors can Buy but keep in mind the high risk. Those with low risk tolerance can reduce positions. We expect volatility to subside somewhat post the dramatic PPT and AMP’s sell-off.


    Recommendation Impact
    (Last Updated: 20070914)
    Recommendation is a Speculative Buy


    Event Analysis
    Share price free fall!
    CDR shares have continued to freefall post-downgrade as institutional shareholders, in particular Perpetual and AMP, sell down their significant stakes in the troubled IT provider. Most recent concerns involve liquidity issues. Has CDR sufficient cash to remain afloat at current low operating profit levels and could the banks foreclose on existing debt?

    Our FY08 and FY09 forecasts remain unchanged. We assume no dividend in FY09. Our Intrinsic Value reduces 10cps to $1.25. Our view has not changed since our last report - 29/08/07 SCG33 - and we still believe CDR is cheap at these historically low levels. Some parts of the company are decent and can make quite good profit if they are run properly. There has been a big stuff-up no doubt. The board will likely change management. Hopefully new management can make better use of the business. They will need to uphaul and fix Volante. We believe at 50cps the upside potential looks greater than downside. This said, it could blow-up. Unfortunately it’s a murky situation, that’s why the stock price is so low.

    The extent of the freefall below 80 cents has surprised us however. Speculative investors can Buy but keep in mind the high risk. Those with low risk tolerance can reduce positions. We expect volatility to subside somewhat post the dramatic PPT and AMP’s sell-off.

    High capex and acquisitions have driven CDR gearing to high levels, with net debt at $230m at FY07 year end. CDR expected to paydown debt quickly post the Volante acquisition until operations took a major stumble, beginning with the initial June earnings downgrade and most recently with a soft FY08 management outlook at the full year result. A cautious management outlook suggests a lack of visibility with management seeming still unsure of extent of 4Q07 billing problems and the switch to the franchise model. The continued skew of earnings to the last quarter of the financial year compound the problem. The question is Can CDR stay in business? Should CDR get through FY08 without needing to raise large amounts of capital then share price should recover somewhat.

    FY08 management outlook is for EBITDA of $67 - $75m, up only 0-12%. Cash from operations has typically run below EBITDA. Finance costs of $26m for FY08 suggest an interest cover of around two times.

    CDR’s current capital structure is unsustainable at current low profitability levels given (1) high debt at higher interest rates (2) considerable capex and working capital requirements, and (3) possible losses from sale of inventory. All three severely crimp free cash. We forecast free cash of $8m for FY08, increasing to $20m for FY09. Either EBITDA needs to return to $95-101m earlier guidance levels or capex needs to fall from current $35mplus levels for substantial free cash to be generated. Management has suggested it may be able to remove government-related assets from balance sheet, doing away with some capex requirements. Whether EBITDA can return to higher $100m levels – this was earlier guidance - depends on the extent of customer losses and brand damage.



    CDR renegotiated debt covenants on the basis of new FY08 guidance. Concern is the more the share price continues to fall the greater the risk of contravening loan covenants with now more risk averse Banks. It is now more difficult and expensive it to raise equity capital for a perceived high risk situation. CDR has a revolving debt facility of $360m, up from $340m. At June 30 2007 $247m was drawn-down suggesting $113m is still available.

    CDR has incurred serious damage to its brand. We now have a lower run-rate of revenue as typical maintenance and service revenue to which ICT hardware sales are a lead will be lost. The extent of these losses will not be known until 4Q08 and potentially 4Q09, and relies on CDR convincing customers to retain their services.

    The move to franchise model is still risky and key to reducing labour costs and rebuilding margins. Six franchises remain unsigned in a target of 41, but management sees this as less important than the performance of existing ones.

    Management assures us that problems with the Volante billing system have been fixed with no capex spend required. Poor performance could lead to asset write downs of Volante with a $147m price adding $115m of goodwill to CDR’s balance sheet. At the full year result CDR ensured investors an independent review conducted since the earnings downgrade did not result in a write-down of Volante. Inventory of around $10m remains on CDR balance sheet because of the 4Q07 transactions blow-up, but management say very little of this needs to be written off.

    Corporate activity is unlikely while operations remain a mess. Pressure from the board has emerged to change management.

    Both PPT and AMP are no longer significant shareholders after intense selling on Tuesday September 11, with around 35m shares or 15% of total shares outstanding traded. Part of the recent sell-down by PPT and AMP is likely to do with CDR coming out of the ASX200 and its now higher risk profile. Given the debt and management issue, and the complexity of the business issues, we would rate the stock as only for traders at present. The history of the company is not indicative of a quality business or a quality management.




  30. I find that post rather repugnant and cynical cusox.
    Right now, imo it's a buy.

    What does that have to do with anything else?
    Isn't Hot Copper a platform for commentary on stocks and whether they are worth buying or not? If we didn't comment, there would be no Hot Copper

    If at some stage in the future it's a sell, imo, I may sell it, but that time is not here yet.
    Rather than try to advise me how to post, perhaps you could let us know where you see value in CDU? Do you wait for it to be proven and moving up again?

    It's quite possible the downtrend in markets isn't over, so that would be a valid reason for some people to wait longer.
    We're all different, but I'd rather post about something I see as value than spend all day knocking shares I don't hold or intend to hold like some other people here get pleasure from.

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  31. Shadow, that is bull dust, and you know it.
    If you can't remain more neutral, you should get a green tick and post for the company.
    You simply can't give a value on it without ALL the information.
    Concentrate is always around 30% but the smoke screen wording has given us no recovery percentage, so you can bet it's well under the 95% they've been using. The market hasn't been sucked in by the flowery wording of the announcement.
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  32. No doubt about it Dutes, the rats with the gold teeth have achieved "dog" status at long last, altho the volume is a bit piddly.

    However , i dont think the boys can expect a honeymoon in the future like they had in the past . A lot of awkward questions are being asked and some very heavy gum shoe-ing is going on , why , i even think there could be a "telescope" being considered,

    Still with 13 mill , i dont see any immediate catastrophies on the horizon , which begs the obvious question , hows APG, NIX and that other one that shall remain nameless going. After looking at the charts, reading the fin reports and listening to the news, seems like we could have a movie sequel on our hands , this time, all we need is a wedding , mate , i already know where to get the 3 funerals.

    Cheers

    OI NQ , how they hanging?

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  33. Announcement from ERM has made my day. :)

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  34. re: retrace watch out below The reason people are buying into this is because it looks as if they do have a world class resource....if that is the case this stock is very undervalued at current levels.
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  35. tvp
    Maybe this sheds some light on it ............................
    He was suspected of being Bendigo. Maybe the mods worked it out.

    Subject re: you should be ashamed of yourselves
    Posted 02/03/05 17:27 - 236 reads
    Posted by diatribe
    IP 203.51.xxx.xxx
    Post #529197 - in reply to msg. #529196 - splitview

    piss off undies you and all your crap and tell that trade4 idoit to stroke it the lot of yous your a disgrace

    Voluntary Disclosure: No Position Sentiment: None TOU violation






    Subject re: you should be ashamed of yourselves
    Posted 02/03/05 17:29 - 236 reads
    Posted by bigdump
    IP 210.49.xxx.xxx
    Post #529199 - in reply to msg. #529188 - splitview

    so who should be ashamed of themselves
    it squite ironic !
    Isn't talking to ones self a form of madness





    Voluntary Disclosure: No Position Sentiment: None TOU violation






    Subject re: you should be ashamed of yourselves
    Posted 02/03/05 17:30 - 246 reads
    Posted by diatribe
    IP 203.51.xxx.xxx
    Post #529201 - in reply to msg. #529199 - splitview

    fark u 2 fool ramper

    Voluntary Disclosure: No Position Sentiment: None TOU violation






    Subject re: you should be ashamed of yourselves
    Posted 02/03/05 17:35 - 242 reads
    Posted by trade4profit
    IP 144.139.xxx.xxx
    Post #529204 - in reply to msg. #529197 - splitview

    diatribe...

    Here are the posts you refer to "6 - 8 weeks ago"...

    ---

    Subject copper strike.. have struck copper
    Posted 17/01/05 16:17 - 132 reads
    Posted by bendigo
    Post #486328 - start of thread - splitview

    Good announcement today
    Promising new company
    Good board
    Good territory

    go the ASX website & check out the announcment.

    Cheers
    Bendigo

    ---

    Subject re: copper strike.. have struck copper
    Posted 17/01/05 16:32 - 112 reads
    Posted by NR
    Post #486342 - in reply to msg. #486328 - splitview

    all ready on them bendigo......awaiting further annonucements.......


    ---


    Subject re: copper strike.. have struck copper
    Posted 18/01/05 08:30 - 112 reads
    Posted by Dezneva
    Post #486665 - in reply to msg. #486328 - splitview

    Yep, I agree. I know the people as well. They have a whole heap of old TEC ground. Its a great hit. and I think they are continuing the drilling.

    ---


    These were the first 3 posts ever on CSE.

    Although Dezneva only posted "...I know the people as well...", I can see how you may have remebered that as "...the boss being a good bloke..."

    Problem is, it was Bendigo he was replying to and not you!

    How do you explain that?

    Cheers!

    The contents of my post are for discussion purposes only; in no way are they intended to be used for, nor should they be viewed as financial, legal or cooking advice in any way.

    Voluntary Disclosure: No Position Sentiment: None TOU violation






    Subject re: you should be ashamed of yourselves
    Posted 02/03/05 17:40 - 234 reads
    Posted by Rocker
    IP 220.253.xxx.xxx
    Post #529215 - in reply to msg. #529204 - splitview

    well picked up T4P


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  36. I get your drift joewolf.
    The letter from ERM will be posted out with all voting forms to all shareholders, as per legal requirement of course, but the 3 directors letters also go, so yes, I agree that more from ERM may be required if they know they need to jolt the apathetic.

    Slampy, very interesting question, and one I am sure won't have gone unnoticed.

    Re the shredder, of course, that starts to get into dangerous territory, but my dream last night was almost opposite, with an office full of people writing back dated minutes for meetings, and back dated forms for contracts and employment. It was a hectic dream, and I hope there's no reality in it at all.


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  37. I reckon you should all get a life personally!
    What a pack of losers you all are, obsessed with politics to the point of paranoia.
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  38. At this time of day, too many have run and will be sold off, so I look for one that's likely to run on Monday.

    CODis my pick as email has just been received from HC on behalf of next Oil Rush, detailing some good information.

    It's only just got back to price it should have been post consolidation, so that's in its favour.
    Very little to sell, I like that, as it will move quickly.

    Many won't have received the email yet as they're at work, etc.

    Read more here.

    http://www.nextoilrush.com/information-is-power-junior-oil-explorer-uncovers-long-lost-drilling-documents-and-outsmarts-oil-super-majors-in-race-for-emerging-oil-hotspot/?utm_source=HCMO

    Looks good for next week. Be prepared!
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  39. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
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  40. tvp
    re: it goes like this? Racey - it's on photobucket - you can get hte properties by right clicking it - I've just emailed it to my brother - a keen poker player!

    Salty - howsabout an email update please imo!!
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  41. What a fascinating thread reading back 3 months!

    Lots of reading today!
    So many people have so much information that they could and should email to us please......

    [email protected]

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