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For April 2021 the ABS shows $6.7 billion of new loan...

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    For April 2021 the ABS shows $6.7 billion of new loan commitments for first home buyers. Two-thirds of these being high loan-to-value implies $4.5b of potential mortgage lending requiring lender’s mortgage insurance.


    The same data set shows $23.0 billion of owner-ccupied new loan commitments that are not first time buyers - representing a potential $8.7 billion of mortgage lending potentially requiring lender’s mortgage insurance.


    So, yes, as a third of potential lender’s mortgage insurance volumes, first home buyers are a sub-set of the total - albeit a one-third sub-set of the total.


    However as first time buyers also tend to have higher high loan-to-value ratios, the gross written premium on their lender’s mortgage insurance coverage is higher still.


    Thus, it is likely first time buyers with high loan-to-value ratios represent more than half of lender’s mortgage insurance gross written premiums (remembering premiums rise exponentially, not lineraly, with rising loan-to-values).

 
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