So, for interest, and because I've commented on it a couple...

So, for interest, and because I've commented on it a couple times, I took a few minutes to pick the flare max/min dimensions off the Sentinel images. What piqued my interest was the large flare on April 7th. I wanted to see how it scaled to the historic flow rates.

I've hung the evaluation on the 3/13 and 3/28 average rates and flare volumes and assumed flare z is (x+y)/2. I've taken min dimension as x and the max as Y. There's a bit of uncertainty here (you don't say!), the real purpose was to see what the exceptional flare date scaled to if this works. I'm not saying it does, but it's not an unreasonable attempt.

Conclusions -

• Aside from the exceptional satellite image on April 7th I'd suggest that there will be little to no news out of the 90 day release. I'd estimate the exit rate to be essentially comparable to the 60 day exit rate of 5.5 mmcf/d normalized to 1000m, perhaps 5.4 mmcf/d which would yield an IP90 of 5.8 mmcf/d.
• IF it were real, the April 7th rate would scale to 10.3 mmcf/d, however it's probably meaningless given the stability of the previous 60 day decline, if it lasted one day it would only bump it to 5.85 over 90 days vs 5.8 mmcf/d.
• The points other than April 7th seem to plot nicely around the trend suggesting this works reasonably well.