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Used multiple dates, removed the cloud images. Last time I...

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SmallFish991

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12/06/25

12:44

Post #: 79406207
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Originally posted by Wayang Kulit: ↑

Methinks reading too much into the chicken entrails and not sizing up the chicken !

Just some perspective - above and beyond the mulitude of technical vairiables on how the flow test is being conducted. We are looking at heat signatures taken a gizzilian kilometers away in space and proceeded goodness knows how and delivered to a desktop PC where it is measured by a chunky line drawn across a screen !

Not disparaging the information at all - just saying keep the context.

A few quick points on sensors.
(1) Order of magnitude. This satellite i would say is 400km from earth picking up an IR signature 50-75m wide . The smallest error in the IR sensor , electronic conversion , and pixelisation will have an outsized impact on a signature so relatively small.
(2) The sensor itself - how big is the tranducing face? massive impact on accuracy.
(3) Calibration - that thing has been up there for years presumably - physical calibration not been done. To point 1 above - the smallest creeping error will have an outsized impact on a tiny terrestrial measurement.
(4) Deliberate data distortion . Unfortunately it’s a fact that satellite data almot always has an deliberate element of data ‘distortion’ . Nuff said.
(5) Environmental distortion . IR radiation is relatively free from environmental distortion in the space between source and sensor- but it will be there. When you look at the formula for calculation of distance it is based on time travelled and speed of light. (no formulas today folks) . It takes milliseconds for EMR to travel 400odd km (speed of light) so the timiest distortion in the time travelled interval has an outsized impact on the ‘distanc.

e’ measures. I will not even get on a vertical time / distance on calc transposed to a horizontal pane ( flare width).

So- the satellite info is good and interesting , and probably/possibly acurate-ish. But don’t be in the least bit surprised if translation of flare size is out by 10m - 20m or more at any given time. This holds true for even relative comparison over time.

Also not sure how flare size correlates to fas flow !

So in short - on thing for sure - the flare shows is a good sized chicken here,!

good luck to holders

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Used multiple dates, removed the cloud images. Last time I produced a near perfect estimate from the images.

It is the same satellite, probably the same testing gear.

There is no program of choke sizes that will construe the fact that the well is over three times as long and is producing less than SS1H.

Viee it as an opportunity. Things will be fine, but it's gonna take more wells.

TBN Price at posting: 17.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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