I have previously looked at a similar calculation based on 12...

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    I have previously looked at a similar calculation based on 12 from 20 out of 312
    Humbly I'll accept correction from you as required :-
    Since there are 20 chances in 312 of picking the first correct card the answer is 1 in 15.6
    If first pick is correct i then there is a 19 chance in 311 to pick the next correct card = 1 in 16.4 chance.
    For the first 2 correct picks = a 1 in 255 chance (15.6 x 16.4)
    So it escalates for the next 10 picks.
    I remember that you were more likely to win 6 from 45 lotto twice in a row than picking 12 from 20 out of 312
 
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