Flattening the curve is not the answer.

  1. 14,230 Posts.
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    It is a desirable goal in the short term to allow other permanent solutions to gather steam, but it is futile in the long term.

    Let's say we have 1,000 new infections every week. No politician would call that acceptable and that we just CAN'T relax our distancing rules and allow business to reopen. How long before we can relax? NEVER!

    With 50,000 new infections a year it would take 240 years to achieve 50% herd immunity. But we have 300,000 new born every year.

    We must get back to work within three months and we must take a wartime attitude towards risk for the greater good.

    As an example, when Alan Turing was cracking the Enigma code one of the first messages decoded was that a U boat wolf pack was assembling to attack a convoy. One woman gasped and said someone close to her was on that convoy and that they must be warned. A espionage agent refused. They couldn't show their hand that they were starting to crack the code.

    How hard would that have been?

    The nation must get back to work and if that means taking risks on treatment, so be it.
    Last edited by LoadedDog: 31/03/20
 
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