If there is no further community transmission of covid, then new cases will fall and, yes, we will go back to business sooner rather than later.
If, as I suspect, the community containment of the virus is inadequate, then new cases will rise and the "curve" will not indeed be flattened but only represent a lull before the storm of actual epidemic proportions and return to business will be delayed indefinitely... until such times as adequate community containment is in place and new infection rate falls.
As you can see by the chart, the curve is "flattening". But...
This is because the rate of overseas acquired infections will be halted. Meanwhile locally acquired cases are rising.
My question is whether Mr Hunt is premature in claiming that the curve is flattening? This will certainly impact on how son we can go back to business.
Its the locally acquired infection rate that we now need to see fall that will determine how soon we return to "normal".
