Picking this apart a little for interests sake, the mathematicaly infered flow rate of frack water is in the range 280 to 400 barrels/day.
It may start higher and finish lower than this range, as it is an average over up to 14 days
As stated in the update, based on modelling of the reservoir pressure and fracture conductivity. So based on inputs of pressure and conductivity, that 88e is in a good position to accurately predict, the modelling shows the 4000 barrels will flow within 14 days maximum.
For the frack fluid to flow to the wellbore, where gas lift will assist it to the surface, it is going to take pressure drive from the reservoir. We know the pressure drive is there at ~9000 psi in the pores of the rock.
After the 14 days it is anticipated that this will enable the hydrocarbons in the reservoir to flow naturally to surface at a representative rate.So the question is will the hydrocarbon flow be lower than the frack fluid flow.
The knowns are
1) It is a super critical fluid, which means it has the flow properties of a gas and the disolving properties of a liquid. So much superior flow attributes to liquid/frack fluid
2) A gas will expand when there is a pressure drop. So occupies more space for the same quantity, which will create back pressure reducing flow
3) This supercritical fluid is expected to yield 70% liquid hydrocarbons/oil when it cools after leaving the reservoir
I am neither brave or smart enough to predict the degree 1 and 2 will balance out, Paul Basinski certainly was.
https://www.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20180529/pdf/43vd3qv49bt91z.pdf
The flow testing program has been designed to utilize nitrogen lift to assist the removal of up to an additional 4,000 barrels of fluid from the HRZ reservoir. It is anticipated that this will enable the hydrocarbons in the reservoir to flow naturally to surface at a representative rate. Based on modelling of the reservoir pressure and fracture conductivity, this is estimated to take 10-14 days. The well will then continue to be flowed back to ascertain drawdown pressure and decline rate.
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