RHK 1.86% 82.0¢ red hawk mining limited

fms vs sdl

  1. 1,071 Posts.
    Hi chaps/gals, new to Fe shares to slightly out of my depth here... be gentle.

    Figures in this order SDL, FMS

    Note: All Opex and Capex for SDL are for DSO only.

    Resource:
    DSO - 415Mt@60% Fe
    Itabrite - 2,325Mt@38% Fe

    DSO - 224Mt@59% Fe

    Market Cap
    1.4B - 2.7B Shares (undiluted)
    354M - 1.8B Shares (undiluted)

    Capex to develop mine
    3.36B
    404M OR 1B to ramp up output

    Opex
    19.6AU$/t
    35.3AU$/t

    Resource Output
    25Mtpa
    5Mtpa OR 15Mtpa

    DFS
    Q1 2011
    Q1 2012

    Operational
    Q2 2014
    Q1 2014


    What does the above show?
    - SDL are a year ahead in DFS BUT FMS will be operational first.
    - If FMS capacity is increased (believe it will be) then SDL output will be 40% more
    - SDL will cost 300% more to bring into operation (% based on comparing FMS 15Mt capacity i.e. 1B Capex).
    - SDL have a larger resource ~ 85% more DSO (190Mt) - Is this correct?
    - SDL and FMS have very similar mine life 14yrs vs 16yrs (my calcs only! - based on output divided by resource.
    - FMS tonnage will cost ~45% more to deliver ($15/t more)
    - SDL is valued 400% higher than FMS

    Trying to work out which represent the most value but like I said I am out of my depth on Fe. Would appreciated some input and thoughts here please.

    Thanks a Mt of Fe!
    PS I dont hold any SDL but like that story too so. Dont like the Africa risks though, history teaches us: Angola, DRC, Egypt, Kenya, Mozambique, Rwanda, Sierra Leone, Sudan etc
 
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