Very early here Barrier3 but anything for you old chap! Below is a well-researched earnings guide only. As always do your own numbers and this is not advice.
Below are forecast A$ numbers generated at different US$ Iron Ore assumptions but with the following fixed assumptions:
Production 1.33mt (Year 2, first full year of production)
AUD $0.76
Cash Cost US$60/t
Div Payout 70% (with a payout of less than 70% the cash accumulation simply burns a hole in their pocket)
Share Price A$0.07c
Market Cap A$154m
Cash on hand after the dividend payout
1 Iron Ore Fe US0/t Fe US0/t Fe US0/t Fe US0/t Fe US0/t Fe US0/t Fe US0/t Fe US/t 2 Production 1.33mt 1.33mt 1.33mt 1.33mt 1.33mt 1.33mt 1.33mt 1.33mt 3 EBITDA $227m $194m $177m $161m $127m $94m $61m $28m 4 EBIT $222m $189m $172m $156m $122m $90m $56m $23m 5 NPAT $167m $141m $130m $117m $92m $67m $42m $17m 6 FCF $165m $140m $127m $115m $90m $65m $40m $15m 7 DIV $116m $98m $90m $81m $64m $46m $29m $11m 8 DIV cps $0.06 $0.05 $0.04 $0.038 $0.03 $0.02 $0.01 $0.005 9 Yield 81% 69% 63% 56% 44% 32% 20% 8% 10 Cash on hand $71m $60m $54m $48m $36m $24m $12m $0.34m 11 Spec Div Yr 6 $0.13 $0.11 $0.10 $0.09 $0.07 $0.05 $0.03 $0.008 12 Spec Div Yield 185% 156% 142% 127% 98% 69% 40% 11%
Regards
Pihrana
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