FGE forge group limited

The thing you need to remember when using an ROE valuation...

  1. 1,267 Posts.
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    The thing you need to remember when using an ROE valuation technique is the assumptions that are made:
    - retained capital can generate the same ROE forever (not possible)
    - implied growth rate continues forever (not possible unless it is zero - ie 100% of profit paid as dividends)
    - payout ratio remains constant forever

    It is a reasonable tool to use for companies likely to experience consistent and substantial growth, or with minimal growth but close to 100% payout ratio. It is a bit less useful for a cyclical company like FGE.

    As you point out, Skaffold is a waste of money if you just want a 'valuation' figure. Without understanding how the figure is arrived at, it is meaningless.

    Around $4 to $5, I think FGE is great value. But ignore the Skaffold figure.
 
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