Around the Traps ... with THE FERRET
08:08, Wednesday, 15 June 2005
Sydney - Wednesday - June 15: (RWE Australian Business News) -
*****************************
Investors must have liked what they saw in the weekend beauty
parade of new TELSTRA (TLS) boss Solomon Trujillo.
The shares rose a further 9c to to $5.17 yesterday, making a
total 10c since the announcement.
That makes him a $1.2 billion-dollar man.
The headline writers, meanwhile, are having the customary
pun-fest.
We've already had "Heir to the phone", "Sol searching" and "Sol
mate".
It's only a matter of time before we see "Wisdom of Solomon".
*****
We like reading companies' complaints about share price because
of the creative writing.
AAV (AVV) had its annual meeting yesterday and chairman Bob
Mansfield recounted to shareholders how directors became aware during
the second half of the 2004 year that the expected results were not
going to be up to "our expectations, nor to market expectations".
"On 26 October 2004, we announced the first of two profit
warnings to the market that the results for 2004 would be lower than
market expectations," he said.
"The market reaction to the first profit warning went well
beyond the expectations of your directors as to its effects on the share
price.
"We saw our share price drop some 28 per cent, from around the
mid $2 mark to $1.74 the very next day.
"Since that date the share price has crept lower to around $1.40
just prior to Christmas, when the second profit warning was announced.
"Since that period and consistent with the decline in the overall
ASX Small Cap index, our share price has drifted lower to around $1.18
per share.
"Your directors are very concerned at the fall in the AAV share
price following these announcements and have commenced a process designed
to restore market confidence in the company and to increase
earnings in the future."
The chairman should have quit while he was, er, ahead.
AAV plunged a further 23c to as low as 95c yesterday before
closing at $1.07.
The company also announced at the annual meeting that the
one-off charges from the sale or closure of underperforming assets would
cause a loss of around $30 million in the June half.
Yup, two profit warnings followed by a loss warning, all within
eight months, is not good for a share price.
*****
Now here's something we haven't heard for a while from an
Australian exploration company.
BEACH PETROLEUM (BPT), as operator of PEL110, yesterday advised
the ASX that the spudding of Yanerbie-1 well had been delayed ... due to
rain!
*****
TAWANA RESOURCES (TAW), which yesterday announced the discovery
of a 4.66 carat diamond, had some useful advice for other explorers.
Explaining the discovery, the company pointed out it had
previously advised that statistical analysis of the diamonds recovered
from the alluvials strongly indicated that larger diamonds would be
recovered once larger volumes of samples had been processed.
This is due to the "nugget effect" which requires larger samples
to recover the larger and more valuable diamonds.
The formula, according to Tawana, is:
Small samples = smaller diamonds;
larger samples = larger diamonds.
Now everybody got that?
Tawana shares rose 2c to 85c.
*****
We often complain how companies tend to muddy their profit
warnings.
However, QUEENSLAND COTTON (QCH) is a good example of a company
telling it how it is.
It said unfavourable weather had resulted in a reduced outlook
for full-year net profit of $10 million, based upon last year's
accounting standards.
"While this outlook is 60 per cent above the company's result for
the 2005 year ($6.3 million), it is below early expectations of an
operating profit after tax in excess of $15 million, on an equivalent
accounting basis," it said.
The shares fell 25c to $4.12.
*****
The interest rate reared its ugly head again yesterday after RBA
Governor Ian Macfarlane's speech, "Global Influences on the Australian
Economy".
As a result JP Morgan advised clients the RBA was "unlikely to
move the cash rate in either direction any time soon".
Maybe even hold them steady in an unchanged position as well,
eh?
Meanwhile, NAB's Quarterly Business Survey said that provided the
May Survey results didn't prove the start of a new upward trend in
domestic demand, "we continue to see the RBA's next move as downwards, a
cut of 25 points in early 2006.
"The onset of a more serious drought does, however, provide the
possibility of the timing of that cut being brought forward to late
2005."
*****
Fat-drug developer METABOLIC PHARMACEUTICALS (MBP) paid the
price of a $10 million placement to institutional and professional
investors at 61c a share.
The shares promptly fell 6.5c to 63c before closing at 64c.
Shareholders will also participate, via a $10 million share
purchase plan at 61c.
Metabolic rose from 61c to 91c last month (and was queried
halfway at 77c), but has been spiralling downwards again since.
(Comments and complaints to [email protected] - no requests
for advice please.)
ENDS
Copyright © 2005 RWE Australian Business News. All rights reserved.
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