XJO 0.23% 7,682.0 s&p/asx 200

fraught friday, page-48

  1. 17,444 Posts.
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    This is no time to be heavily short.

    Just perused my daily/ weekly/monthly charts.

    Weekly MACD has exceeded 2002/3 extremes and is within a week or two of 1987 extremes.

    That doesn't mean new lows can't be seen, but either minimal or very brief or after a big rally or multi month one.

    I would have loved to see March 23 as a low and it may manage by a sharp day or two move at that time.

    The biggest worry is a high at that time which would suggest a slower but prolonged bear into Oct at least.

    Can news get more bearish than now? Perhaps and I am sure conditions will but my TA says time to lighten up on shorts and expect upside market surprises.

    Banks down 1/3rd, BHP was earlier.

    Maybe we get 50% but no time to geat too pessimistic or too greedy.

    How many here are talking positive.

    Probably Farsight and he is never wrong, OK almost never wrong.
 
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