LYC 1.05% $7.69 lynas rare earths limited

Free Trade agreement and the big picture, page-41

  1. 154 Posts.
    1. Irrelevant. Factored into demand/price
    2. Irrelevent. SP reflects legally operating entity
    3. Irrelevant and ignorant. SP at market value
    4. Marginally relevant. SP ultimately reflects profits, not who shares in them
    5 (a) False Statement. Lynas is on brink of collapse due to unprofitable production, failure to deliver functioning processing plant as paid for and debt burden. Nothing has been derisked. The term you might be looking for is Stay of Execution
    5 (b) False Statement. Minor adjuctments to debt repayment were demanded by noteholder to enable a CR where existing shareholders would raise more money for Lynas to pay noteholders.
    (6) Partly relevant but is ignoring what else China wants....no Lynas
    (7) what support? finance to keep the doors open within current company structure where shareholders participate in any future profits?. No.
    (8) Irrelevant
    (9) Partly relevant but a $26 million (your figure) cost saving at what price (mixing Train 1 and Train 2 LAMP and hundreds of millions of impairment. No relevance to demand side issues.
    (10) Irrelevant. There is a market for Lynas. Your other points address long term viability not day trading liquidity issues
    (11) Irrelevant. Its profits that matter.


    ....but you present an interesting profile of the buyers that are propping Lynas up for the time being and the research/rationale behind those investment decisions. Interesting!
 
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