August proved to be a difficult month for investors as global macro concerns, a general slowdown in global growth and a sense of hesitation drove markets lower. The Australian federal election and the uncertainty over the result also contributed to a generally defensive mindset.
A-REITs that outperformed this month included Charter Hall Retail (+12.3%) and Westfield (+5.1%). Charter Hall Retail gained ground after its strong result and its revised strategy to sell its U.S. and New Zealand investments. Westfield outperformed as it reported some recovery in nearterm U.S. retail sales. The laggard this month was Valad Property (-14.0%), which fell despite delivering a result in-line with expectations.
Performance
The Legg Mason Property Securities Trust underperformed its benchmark over the month. However, portfolio performance over the past year was 0.4% ahead of benchmark. Despite the reporting season throwing up a range of stock specific stories, the Trust�s underperformance over the month was largely attributable to the portfolio�s exposure to some of the smaller capitalised A-REITs and those with exposure to offshore assets. The underperformance from these factors was largely on a thematic basis rather than any significant negative stock specific news.
In particular, the portfolio�s overweight exposure to Valad Property Group (-14.0%) detracted from performance. Valad lost ground despite delivering a result in-line with expectations. We note that Valad has enjoyed positive developments from its European business recently and believe that investors have underestimated its value. Catalysts remain for recovery of capital from Valad�s positions in its development book, in particular its exposure to Gold Fields House.
Outlook
There appears to be a general lack of confidence in the strength of the economic recovery, especially in the U.S. This lack of confidence follows worldwide massive government stimulus as well as corporate and personal debt de-leveraging. However, A-REIT gains over the past month are an encouraging indicator of the significant value that we continue to believe is on offer in selected underlying Australian securities. This view was supported by the reasonably favourable company reporting season, which showed that AREITs have reduced their risk profiles and increased their focus on traditional property rental streams. As the valuation spread between the most attractive and least attractive names in the investment universe remains at four times historical averages, we continue to believe that the A-REIT sector will move higher on a medium term time horizon.
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VPG Price at posting:
$1.62 Sentiment: None Disclosure: Held