No future dilution....
I like the cut of your jib but that's a pretty big call IMO
Stage 3 Capex for either 10ktpa / 15ktpa is going to be somewhere around USD120-160M.
My guess is Mgt will have to give up some equity to an off-take partner for Stage 3 funding a the remainder via debt & sales of Stage 2 output.
But if they can negotiate S3 without dilution then the projected 'ballpark' numbers look way better (see below)
Column 1 Column 2 Column 3 Column 4 Column 5 Column 6 Column 7 Column 8 Column 9 Column 10 Column 11 Column 12 Column 13 Column 14 Column 15 0 Capacity t/pa Income p/t USD Cost p/t USD Revenue USD Profit USD AGY Earn in % AGY EBIT USD USD>AUD Shares on Issue (incl Projected) Scenario 1 Mcap (P/E 10) Projected SP* Scenario 2 Mcap (Sector P/E 15.52) Projected SP* FX rate USD>AUD 1 15,000 18,000 3,500 270,000,000 217,500,000 90.00% 195,750,000 253,793,790 900M 2,537,937,900 $2.82 3,857,665,608 $4.29 1.29652 2 10,000 18,000 3,700 180,000,000 143,000,000 90.00% 128,700,000 166,862,124 900M 1,668,621,240 $1.85 2,536,304,285 $2.82 3 5,000 19,000 4,000 95,000,000 75,000,000 90.00% 67,500,000 87,515,100 900M 875,151,000 $0.97 1,330,229,520 $1.48 4 4,000 20,000 4,300 80,000,000 62,800,000 90.00% 56,520,000 73,279,310 900M 732,793,104 $0.81 1,113,845,518 $1.24 5 3,000 20,000 4,700 60,000,000 45,900,000 90.00% 41,310,000 53,559,241 900M 535,592,412 $0.60 814,100,466 $0.90 6 2,500 22,000 5,000 55,000,000 42,500,000 77.50% 32,937,500 42,704,128 900M 427,041,275 $0.47 649,102,738 $0.72 7 2,000 22,000 5,000 44,000,000 34,000,000 77.50% 26,350,000 34,163,302 900M 341,633,020 $0.38 519,282,190 $0.58 8 1,500 22,000 5,000 33,000,000 25,500,000 77.50% 19,762,500 25,622,477 900M 256,224,765 $0.28 389,461,643 $0.43
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No future dilution.... :eek: I like the cut of your jib but...
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Mkt cap ! $62.60M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
4.2¢ | 4.3¢ | 4.2¢ | $31.68K | 754.2K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
11 | 1686445 | 4.1¢ |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
4.2¢ | 116430 | 2 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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11 | 1686445 | 0.041 |
21 | 2578976 | 0.040 |
11 | 2999266 | 0.039 |
15 | 704030 | 0.038 |
6 | 931081 | 0.037 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.042 | 116430 | 2 |
0.043 | 1089022 | 4 |
0.044 | 520342 | 4 |
0.045 | 215909 | 5 |
0.046 | 200000 | 1 |
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