Hooter, I have found the UBS conclusion to the full report -
60 While we can not fault the Mauritania joint venture partners current goal to get Chinguetti fully developed on time and budget in Q106 and evaluate Tiof for a potential early development scheme in 07, we eagerly await the future resumption of Mauritania exploration drilling activity. Despite the relatively poor recent exploration drilling results, we believe the Mauritania deep water Salt Basin remains relatively unexplored with a better than industry average success rate (5/11, or 45%). In our view, the resumption of offshore Mauritania exploration around April/May has potential to create a catalyst for a positive share price performance should investors choose Hardman in order to position themselves for exposure to the potential upside from the wells. For example, the Petrel prospect which Hardman estimates has 100 250 mmbbl (gross) potential is likely to be drilled in 2005. Outside of Mauritania, we have tended to heavily discount the other frontier areas of Hardmans operations, particularly since they are often in an early stage of evaluation and have not involved significant capital investment. Thus, the fact the Eritrean Cabinet has recently refused to award a PSC to Hardman, after previously establishing a MOU and worked through PSC terms, does not make us overly concerned. There also possibly remains other non core areas of Hardman activity that we think have limited potential that could also be exited when it is appropriate to do so. Conversely, two frontier areas are, in our opinion, noteworthy since they appear to have potential for reasonable upside: 1. Offshore French Guyane (HDR 97.5%) in South America hosts the very large Matamata prospect with multiple objectives subject to farm-out negotiations (delayed) for potential drilling in 2006. 2. In addition, several highly ranked prospects in the Albert Lake area Block 2 (HDR 50%) of Uganda, East Africa looks interesting. In summary, we believe the resumption of exploration activity around April/May '05 offshore Mauritania, potential confirmation of Tiof development go ahead in 05, and the Chinguetti oil field start up in Q106 combine to provide positive support for a future Hardman share price re-rating.
My apologies for some of the text being mangled in transition.
HDR Price at posting:
0.0¢ Sentiment: LT Buy Disclosure: Held
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