re: funtastic-be careful - for ac I used a simplified free cash flow model. The primary assumptions were beta of 0.5 (half the all-ords and not a growth beta at all), and earnings figures of 131 (02), 164 (03) - ~25% growth, and 190 (04) - ~17% growth). After 04 they will come back to the industry levels in terms of earnings. Given the industry you cannot assume a competitive advantage lasting longer than 3 years.
To warrant a market price of $1.46 the earnings need to be around $250m for 03 (100%) and growth to match for the years thereafter. I think this scenario is highly unlikely.
The market price will move down to the 1.10 -1.20 range.
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Last
9.3¢ |
Change
-0.003(3.13%) |
Mkt cap ! $10.99M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
9.5¢ | 9.5¢ | 9.0¢ | $11.62K | 126.5K |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
3 | 3441 | 9.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
9.3¢ | 9442 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
3 | 3441 | 0.090 |
1 | 100000 | 0.089 |
1 | 35000 | 0.088 |
1 | 36155 | 0.083 |
1 | 100000 | 0.082 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.093 | 9442 | 1 |
0.094 | 16000 | 2 |
0.099 | 10000 | 1 |
0.100 | 195463 | 3 |
0.115 | 10000 | 1 |
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