Future Divedend outlook? LTR, page-25

I agree that 2025 should be seen as a ramping year, and that we should be happy to break even, but for FY 2026, our DFS indicates that AISC (with the Tantulum credit applied) should be U$452. Even if we say that is far too optimistic, and use U$600/dmt as the AISC, at a realized price of U$1,500/dmt, with production at 511 ktpa, FY26 yields revenues of U$766.5M and an operating profit of U$456M (455.9M, to be precise). That works-out to A$690M (689.85M), or pretty much enough to pay-off ALL debts.

By FY27, even if we maintain the realized price of only U$1,500/dmt, that same operating profit of A$690M, spread across 2.4B shares, yields EPS of almost A$0.29 (28.8 cents). Assuming a dividend payout rate of 30%, which is average for the industry, that would be a dividend of A$0.086 per share.

Truth be told, with the typical hiccups associated with ramp-up and a few surprises to be expected along the way, I would expect slightly less than that, but I still expect a dividend for FY27 in the A$0.05 range, and that is assuming the conservative SC6 price of U$1,500/dmt and LTR "only" producing SC6 (since all indications are that we are to be producing SC6.3).

Best regards, and have a nice day!