Just rereading through Parcels' initial post (excerpt below) on this thread to determine approx MC from SOL deal alone (as estimated revenue provided for this). Given revenue streams from SOL alone is expected to be USD1.5mil/month, one could expect the MC, based on this alone to be AUD174mil (1.5mil * 1.2(FXUS to AUD) *12mths less AUD10mil costs * 15PEratio)/ 1.13mil shares = 15c share price. My point is, is the SOL deal alone worth 15c/ share, with PGAS and Chinese smart city being upside to this? Is anyone else on the same page with this or am I way off?
2. Potential Market Capitalisation
TV2’s market capitalisation is currently about $18 million (the figure shown on HotCopper is incorrect). Based on the deals currently in place, and assuming a subscriber base of 1 million in Brazil and 3 million in Indonesia can be secured within 12 months, some speculative 12-month projections using various sub fees are as follows:
Column 1
Column 2
Column 3
Column 4
Column 5
Column 6
Column 7
1
Fees (per subscriber)[/I]
Brazil
Indonesia
Total Revenue (yearly)
Revenue minus Estimated Costs ($10mil/yr)
Projected Market Cap (P/E 15)
Forecast Share Price
2
30c[/B][/I]
$300K/mth
$900K/mth
$14.4 million
$4.4 million
$66 million
6c
3
50c[/I]
$500K/mth
$1.5M/mth
$24 million
$14 million
$210 million
19c
4
$1[/I]
$1M/mth
$3M/mth
$48 million
$38 million
$760 million
69c
5
$1.50[/I]
$1.5M/mth
$4.5M/mth
$72 million
$62 million
$930 million
84.5c
TV2 Price at posting:
2.2¢ Sentiment: None Disclosure: Held