Hi
@SuperTrumpy,
As requested, here are some speculative figures for where we could be 12-months from now. I've split the table into two sections according to your sub-fee estimates and my own, with a growing numbers of subscribers for each:
|
Column 1 |
Column 2 |
Column 3 |
Column 4 |
Column 5 |
Column 6 |
Column 7 |
Column 8 |
Column 9 |
Column 10 |
Column 11 |
Column 12 |
Column 13 |
| 1 |
VALUATION |
BRAZIL |
|
|
INDO |
|
|
BRAZIL + INDO |
TOTAL REVENUE |
COSTS |
NET INCOME |
MARKET CAP |
SHARE PRICE |
| 2 |
12-MONTHS |
Subs |
Fee |
Revenue |
Subs |
Fee |
Revenue |
Monthly Revenue |
12-Months |
($2M/Qtr)* |
(Revnue - Costs) |
(P/E 20)** |
Projected |
| 3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4 |
SuperTrumpy |
250000 |
$4.00 |
$1,000,000.00 |
800000 |
$0.25 |
$200,000.00 |
$1,200,000.00 |
$14,400,000.00 |
$8,000,000.00 |
$6,400,000.00 |
$128,000,000.00 |
$0.08 |
| 5 |
|
400000 |
$4.00 |
$1,600,000.00 |
1200000 |
$0.25 |
$300,000.00 |
$1,900,000.00 |
$22,800,000.00 |
$8,000,000.00 |
$14,800,000.00 |
$296,000,000.00 |
$0.19 |
| 6 |
|
600000 |
$4.00 |
$2,400,000.00 |
1500000 |
$0.25 |
$375,000.00 |
$2,775,000.00 |
$33,300,000.00 |
$8,000,000.00 |
$25,300,000.00 |
$506,000,000.00 |
$0.32 |
| 7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 9 |
Parcels |
400000 |
$2.50 |
$1,000,000.00 |
800000 |
$0.40 |
$320,000.00 |
$1,320,000.00 |
$15,840,000.00 |
$8,000,000.00 |
$7,840,000.00 |
$156,800,000.00 |
$0.10 |
| 10 |
|
600000 |
$2.50 |
$1,500,000.00 |
1200000 |
$0.40 |
$480,000.00 |
$1,980,000.00 |
$23,760,000.00 |
$8,000,000.00 |
$15,760,000.00 |
$315,200,000.00 |
$0.20 |
| 11 |
|
800000 |
$2.50 |
$2,000,000.00 |
1500000 |
$0.40 |
$600,000.00 |
$2,600,000.00 |
$31,200,000.00 |
$8,000,000.00 |
$23,200,000.00 |
$464,000,000.00 |
$0.29 |
| 12 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
*It's hard to know what costs will be 12-months from now. They will increase as we grow and invest in further opportunities. But for the sake of this exercise, I've set costs at $2M per quarter, which is over double our current spend.
**I've set a P/E ratio of 20, as I believe that some forward-earnings will be factored in, due to the high growth that will be possible.
These figures are pretty loose, but even so it's easy to see how scalable this is, particularly when considering that these are only two deals. With much more in the pipeline, it's not hard to imagine TV2 being a half-billion dollar company, or even becoming a "unicorn" in time.
Interested in everyone's thoughts.
GLTAH.
