future value, back of envelope

I have been constructing my thoughts on SYR and offer the following for debate.

Chicken and egg on plant size V market capacity etc but to get the ball rolling, I used 100,000 product per year.

Basic plant and ancillary items should be well under $150m

It's a soft low abrasive product (relatively speaking)

OPEX should be way under $800
Sales maybe $1200
Margin $400
100,000 tpa will give 40,000,000 profit
4 year payback
LOM looks like forever but lets use 25 years
So 21 years at $40m profit.....nice so a PE should be sweet at 10x
So E of $120m gee.....this could be a $1.2 B company with little effort...
4 bagger from here with minimal risk, I'm in .......

Time will judge me, as it did with SBM......


Note, the above is a result of red wine ramble ....... So is advice for fellow punters. Investors have long since left the tent.