Jonno bettings odds are normally very accurate for elections however this far out they are not. For example there were republicans going of course Obama will lose the next election while the money was clearly against them. The odds correctly picked every single state bar one (admittedly betting is all about odds not assurances).
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- galaxy poll 2pp alp +1 50 lnp -1 50
galaxy poll 2pp alp +1 50 lnp -1 50, page-27
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