Saul Eslake - ANZ Chief Economist
http://www.asx.com.au/resources/podcast/library/investor_hour070606.pdf
Pages 10,11,12 Aluminium demand page 12
Graph page 12 shows China just starting on a path well worn by western nations
Another 40 years to go and already using as much as developing countries???
Think of current global metals and energy demand....
VERY BIG PICTURE CURRENTLY
NOW (at a minimum)
Times 2 for China
Times 2 for India
Times 2 for Russia
Times 2 for Brazil
Times 2 for rest of Asia
Times 2 for continued developed nations use
That is a VERY VERY BIG PICTURE!!!
This is why Rio bought Alcan and BHP wants RIO
I think this is a once in a lifetime event that has started
Think about it 2 Billion people already use 66% of worlds resources and another 4 Billion want in on the action!!!
So even if you double what we already know of current resource demands that is bigger than we have seen in history
There is still 700 million people in China living on less than $2 a day... thats twice the population of US and OZ and we already have $100 oil....
Another situation is that a lot of developed countries infrastucture... bridges, pipes etc need replacing after 50 years
The resource boom is not over...
This is just the calm before the Storm!!
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- demand to double going into 2020
demand to double going into 2020, page-2
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