General Discussion AGY, page-1204

Alright ladies and gents, i couldn't help myself i've put together new calculations for AGY's price (not including Tonopah) based on some new information:

- The 10,000 tonne p.a plant endeavoured to be operational by 1 January 2024 will be on top of AGY's 2,000 tonne p.a plant operational from roughly 1 July 2022.
- Jerko is looking to expand the 12.000 tonne p.a operation with a further 10,000 plant on top of that.
- (Existing information) we are aiming for a revised JORC of 507,000 - 724,000 tonnes of lithium.

My calculations are based off the following

- 25% profit tax to Argentina
- 10% cut to Pablo's company (puna or puma or whatever)
- $13,000 USD per tonne of lithium
-$15,000 USD per tonne of lithium from 2024 onwards.
- $4,600 cost per tonne of lithium
- Assumption: 2nd 10,000 tonne plant operational by 1 January 2027.
- Assumption: achieved JORC at middle of estimate = 615,500 tonnes of lithium.
- Life of mine in current JORC is based on feasibility of using mine until 67.3% used = 414,000 tonnes of lithium to extract.

Discounted Cash Flow Valuation Method

Cost of Capital rate used - 7% = $1.96 valuation

	Column 1	Column 2	Column 3	Column 4	Column 5
1	Year	Lithium P.A	Profit During Year	Resource	Present Value = X1.07^-(n)
2	Year 1 2022	1000	$11,812,000	413,000	$11,419,091
3	Year 2 2023	2000	$23,624,000	411,000	$21,344,096
4	Year 3 2024	12000	$166,044,000	399,000	$140,205,078
5	Year 4 2025	12000	$166,044,000	387,000	$131,032,783
6	Year 5 2026	12000	$166,044,000	375,000	$122,460,545
7	Year 6 2027	22000	$304,414,000	353,000	$209,823,363
8	Year 7 2028	22000	$304,414,000	331,000	$196,096,601
9	Year 8 2029	22000	$304,414,000	309,000	$183,267,852
10	Year 9 2030	22000	$304,414,000	387,000	$171,278,366
11	Year 10	22000	$304,414,000	365,000	$160,073,239
12	Year 11	22000	$304,414,000	343,000	$149,601,158
13	Year 12	22000	$304,414,000	321,000	$139,814,167
14	Year 13	22000	$304,414,000	299,000	$130,667,445
15	Year 14	22000	$304,414,000	277,000	$122,119,108
16	Year 15	22000	$304,414,000	255,000	$114,130,007
17	Year 16	22000	$304,414,000	233,000	$106,663,558
18	Year 17	22000	$304,414,000	211,000	$99,685,568
19	Year 18	22000	$304,414,000	189,000	$93,164,083
20	Year 19	22000	$304,414,000	167,000	$87,069,236
21	Year 20	22000	$304,414,000	145,000	$81,373,118
22	Year 21	22000	$304,414,000	123,000	$76,049,643
23	Year 22	22000	$304,414,000	101,000	$71,074,433
24	Year 23	22000	$304,414,000	79,000	$66,424,703
25	Year 24	22000	$304,414,000	57,000	$62,079,162
26	Year 25	22000	$304,414,000	35,000	$58,017,908
27	Year 26	22000	$304,414,000	13,000	$54,222,344
28	Year 27	13000	$179,881,000		$29,944,370
29					$2,889,101,029
30		Minus Costs for 10,000 project	$197,000,000 AUD
31		Minus Costs for 2nd 10,000 project	$197,000,000 AUD
32		Minus interest on bonds for both projects	$50,000,000 AUD
33				Net Present Value	$2,445,101,029
34			1,250,000,000 shares	Value per share	$1.96
35				Or PE ratio of 15 @22k operation	$3.65

PE Ratio Method

PE ratio of 15 used @22k operation = $3.65 valuation well into the future.

These calculations do not take into account the Tonopah project.
This is just a sharing of my own calculations and are based on several assumptions, everyone uses different methods and rates.

This is not financial advice.

Cheers big ears
-Jez