Weekly data and thoughts. . Please not that all my views are for short-term only, and I could be wrong, so please dyor. . . . . Lithium Sector Overview- . . From a weekly perspective, AGY had a small drop, moved from 1.7 to 1.6. Nothing much is happening, based on my reading of share price. Not following much on AGY news etc. It has been brutal for AGY, to say the least. A drop from 83 to 1.4, represents a drop of nearly 97%, that is not a good number. Everything that could go wrong, has gone wrong, for the sector, more for AGY. But some signs of bottoming out. One day, the sun may shine again. We wait.. . . Major price action indicators-
ALB - gain of around 7%, so very good week, and now over 20% from its lows - which is the first good indicator for going higher
Ganfeng - Gain of around 2.5% for week, Tianqi gain of around 4% - both are over 20% from their lows
PLS/LTR - PLS gain of 3%, LTR gain of 4% - so moderate gains
Spot Price - Loss of over 1% for week, now a drop of 10% for the month
. So what do these numbers say? There are no clear signs of reversal for the sector. But there are signs that it may be bottoming out. We have heard that before, so we have to be cautious. As I said, numbers are improving, but no clear signs yet around people like me who have seen it all, getting in now. But there are large number of long term holders, so for them, its a good sign. There is hope, something good may happen, sooner than later. Other reality is PLS, it made a new 52 week low of 1.07 this week. If couple of years back someone had said that PLS may go back to 1, people would have thought, person has gone crazy. Unfortunately, that is a reality. So we have to be cautious. If things go bad, it can really go bad. . PersonallyI have not been playing Li stocks. Some scalping, that's it. Gold sector is doing well last couple of years, a lazy play there would have earned a lot instead of seeing drop in portfolio. Something similar we saw 3 years back in Lithium. I am playing Uranium sector big now. I have got out of nearly all my other plays and playing the sector, besides a few goldies and couple of random stocks in REE. . So what may happen next week? On Friday, US Li stocks had decent gain. General markets big green. But we wait for Monday play as we open on Tuesday. Lets hope the recent trend continues. All the best. . . Here is the Figures for the Week:. . .
AGY Price at posting:
1.6¢ Sentiment: Hold Disclosure: Not Held
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