Interesting idea but thats giving way too much away. Bear in mind there are production costs AGY has to pay. Roughly $30-35m for first 2 years. That leaves $120m out of the $150m. I think they'll need more than $120m but keeping the numbers the same....
A debt package with very unfavourable terms to AGY would work out better. Example:
$120m loan with 20% interest rate. Say only interest is paid back over 2 years and then a lump sum principle payment. Would cost $168m to AGY.
In that time say AGY sells 4,000t at the $70k per tonne. Net profit of $250m after $30m production costs.
$82m in front for the JV after 2 years with debt cleared away.
Using more realistic pricing of $50k/t (bear in mind $40k/t is latest AKE average for 45% BG).
That would be net $170m which is still $2m in the clear.
This is with an obsurd 20% interest rate. I'm sure there's companies that would be lining up to take a risk with $120m for 2 years to net $48m alongside a derisked project in a hot lithium market.
I'm sure they are working through all different scenarios but I'm expecting a mix of debt/equity but would be pleasantly surprised if they could work out a favourable funding package with no further dilution.
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