AGY 0.00% 12.0¢ argosy minerals limited

Below is my updated calculations based on my assumptions. (some...

  1. 105 Posts.
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    Below is my updated calculations based on my assumptions. (some might agree and others might not, and that is ok). Hope you find it useful.

    I'm interested in clarifying the difference in market cap calculations based on SOO. Why is there a difference?

    Also, if anyone can shed some light into what tax rate is paid in Argentina and how are corporate tax and tax credits treated there?

    AGY valuation













    20222024
    Current Price
    Assumptions

    Lithium price per Tonne


    $62,300
    Check current price of Lithium Carbonate 99.5% in CNY (convert to US$) at
    C42022$45,000



    Lithium Carbonate 99.5% price in CNY

    2024
    $45,000














    Assumption ignores Tonopah project, and only considers the existing 2,000KT plant and the proposed expansion to 12,000KT plant. Assumption also ignores the funding costs to build the 12,000KT plant.

    Production cost per Tonne




    C8for 2,000KT$10,000




    for 12,000KT
    $10,000














    The 12,000KT plant permitting approval is expected in late 2022, with construction expected to begin in early 2023
    C11PE Ratio (Range 10-20)10









    Current Share Price$0.37



    Potential for increased JORC (Joint Ore Reserves Committee) - indicated resource of 245,120t Li2CO3 at vertical depth of 102.5m. Additional exploration target of 262,000 to 479,000t contained Li2CO3 within depth interval of 102-300m below ground level. Combined JORC estimates outline potential for 507,000 to 724,000t to a depth of 300m. Brine acquifer still open at depth with potential for further drilling, expansion and project life.
    C13Shares on offer SOO1,266,271,704




    Current Market Cap$468,520,530



    C15Puna Share22.5%10%


    C16Argentina Tax25%



    C17$US/$AUD$0.70

    $0.69












    2000Kt plant is 94% complete, fully funded, on schedule. First production late 2022





















    July 2022July 2024


    Sentinel Satellite Image of Rincon Project
    C21Output Tonnes pa2,00012,000







    C21 x C4Gross Revenue in $US$90,000,000$540,000,000


    Weaker Australian $ increases profit in AUD
    C21 x C8Operating Costs in $US$20,000,000$120,000,000








    Profit in US$$70,000,000$420,000,000


    Puna Share is 22.5% dropping to 10% upon completion of 12000KT expansion
    minusPuna Mining interest $15,750,000$42,000,000







    minusTax Argentina (25%)$13,562,500$94,500,000


    Could not find accurate info on Argentian Tax and tax credit for the losses incurred during the first 5 years of operation.

    After Tax in $US$40,687,500$283,500,000



    After Tax in $AUD$58,125,000$405,000,000








    PE multiple$581,250,000$4,050,000,000



















    divide
    Divide by SOO - Fair value per share
    $0.46
    $3.20

















 
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Mkt cap ! $168.5M
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12.5¢ 12.5¢ 12.0¢ $134.1K 1.098M

Buyers (Bids)

No. Vol. Price($)
30 1085577 12.0¢
 

Sellers (Offers)

Price($) Vol. No.
12.5¢ 197251 5
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Last trade - 16.10pm 06/05/2024 (20 minute delay) ?
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12.3¢ 12.5¢ 12.0¢ 631063
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