@boslo I would argue that HIOs problem is that it was a lot of money to begin with, in that any blowouts are likely to be big blowouts. A $2b AUD capex is gargantuan especially if there is no way to scale up to this level. HIOs capex to NPV was almost 100% - this is a big problem in it's own right - the current environment just makes it untenable (it was always going to be a massive uphill battle from an economics and financing perspective).
In regards to Galan, if we go with a capex of 60% of the HMW PEA for the Chloride approach (as hinted by JP) this gives us a very respectable 15.5% Capex to NPV using a 15k US Lithium Chloride price. As bombers points out this is the beauty of this project in this environment - it's low technical risk, low capex, low opex, and scalable PLUS Lithium prices continue to run up off the charts with no sign of slowing (even if they dropped by 50% I could care less).
Notice that even after the dramatic reduction in share prices of ADN, HIO and CYM, GLN still offers superior value (referring to the "% of PE (Diluted)" column).
In this environment your project economics need plenty of buffer - one thing we have here (if nothing else) is plenty of buffer in our project economics from pretty much every dimension (including capex considerations).
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@boslo I would argue that HIOs problem is that it was a lot of...
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Mkt cap ! $67.18M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
13.5¢ | 14.5¢ | 13.5¢ | $200.9K | 1.452M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
---|---|---|
10 | 560551 | 13.5¢ |
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Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
14.0¢ | 344924 | 15 |
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No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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10 | 560551 | 0.135 |
10 | 374562 | 0.130 |
10 | 302500 | 0.125 |
14 | 915285 | 0.120 |
23 | 1753682 | 0.115 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
---|---|---|
0.140 | 344924 | 15 |
0.145 | 427726 | 13 |
0.150 | 842774 | 10 |
0.155 | 322500 | 5 |
0.160 | 191334 | 4 |
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