Yes, thanks for the pickup @merwej - corrected below.
This obviously doesn't change the EV/EBITDA multiple, but it does improve the payback periods on the debt.
As for the other points, each investor can choose their preferred method. In mining I tend to prefer EV/EBITDA rather than P/E, the latter which I find very subjective (bearing in mind when lithium was hot people were using P/E's of 15-20x when placing speculative valuations on things). Mining is so cyclical it just doesn't deserve such high P/E's, in my own opinion. Most of these lithium companies are not diversified either, they're usually single-asset operations/developers, which further should suppress the multiple chosen.
Technically speaking one should be more forward looking and include an element of phase 2 in the mix if doing a proper valuation. That's not what this is - it's just looking at phase 1 in isolation. That's because the company needs to clear the first US$90M debt hurdle, before they even think about financing phase 2 at US$311M incremental capital. Additionally, in my view Greenbushes is worth very little, and Candelas is time/capex risk-rated right down as well. Just my take, I obviously have tended on the conservative side with this one (and for IGO, the other name I've done this sort of work on) so I appreciate many here will want to take a more bullish view. I think the box on the right affords that - if LCE does get back to the US$20K mark longer term then there's definitely upside for GLN at current pricing.
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Last
21.0¢ |
Change
-0.005(2.33%) |
Mkt cap ! $99.27M |
Open | High | Low | Value | Volume |
21.5¢ | 22.0¢ | 21.0¢ | $372.9K | 1.743M |
Buyers (Bids)
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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28 | 1678210 | 21.0¢ |
Sellers (Offers)
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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21.5¢ | 57352 | 1 |
View Market Depth
No. | Vol. | Price($) |
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27 | 1675690 | 0.210 |
19 | 792428 | 0.205 |
30 | 860243 | 0.200 |
3 | 505133 | 0.195 |
5 | 517768 | 0.190 |
Price($) | Vol. | No. |
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0.215 | 57352 | 1 |
0.220 | 73946 | 6 |
0.225 | 187273 | 9 |
0.230 | 349629 | 8 |
0.235 | 74018 | 4 |
Last trade - 16.10pm 06/06/2024 (20 minute delay) ? |
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Last
21.3¢ |
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Change
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Last updated 15.50pm 06/06/2024 ? |
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