ALC 1.89% 5.4¢ alcidion group limited

@ZoeBanjo ; Quality thoughts and very accurate rundown of what...

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    @ZoeBanjo ; Quality thoughts and very accurate rundown of what enterprise software sales is like. I too have been working in that space for a while. I share your view on what pipeline means. If I had a penny for every $2M deal that I saw was nothing more than thin air.

    That said, I think there is an opportunity still with UK trust if you apply the value of previous deals to them. I did some back of the napkin in my deep dive on Alcidion: https://www.goforgrowth.co/p/alcidion-alcasx-deep-dive

    Note this is an ambitious assumption, and they could well fall short of this. The next 3 years will tell.


    I'll copy the segment here:

    We could make a few assumptions here to calculate the potential of such a strategy.

    • 1st, let us assume that of the 106 sites above, they can close 20-30 in the near-enough future.

    • We can 1 land, and 1 expand example:

      • Land: The East Lancashire Hospitals NHS Trust signs 5 year Miya Flow contract was for $300K ARR,

      • Expand: the Dartford and Gravesham expand upon existing Miya Precision contract was for $600K of ARR.

    • So this means 1 potential sites that be reasonably evaluated at $500K ARR (there’s upside potential on both the contracts above).

    • 20-30 sites : $10M in new ARR.


    Now, please note my calculation is overly simplistic; I’ve not accounted for services which normally take up 20-30% of the deal size. This is purely back of the napkit to draw high level portrait.



 
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