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jaybeejacks

280 Posts.

109

03/04/22

16:08

Post #: 60611508
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Originally posted by Mariemac: ↑

Not as straight forward as this.

Yes PAN is unhedged and will currently benefit from spot prices. However, as I understand, spot pricing will be determined (from the shipment date) using a weighted average model over a number of ‘days’ (exact number not known as I think commercially privileged info).

I.e It could be 5 days or it could be 12 days.

Basic example:-

24 March - Nickel $37,102 a tonne
25 March - Nickel $35,123 a tonne
26 March - Nickel $31,800 a tonne
27 March - Nickel $39,450 a tonne
28 March - Nickel $35,600 a tonne
29 March - Nickel $33,240 a tonne
31 March - Nickel $34,500 a tonne

Weighted average using 7 days (example) $35,259 a tonne.

More broadly, the true weighted average can be worked out by reverse engineering the invoice against quantity.

So this may also further explain why your numbers are not aligning when using just the (shipment date) to determine spot prices.

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Thanks Marie, that makes more sense

PAN Price at posting: 30.0¢ Sentiment: Buy Disclosure: Held
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0 Great analysis

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