LLL 0.00% 50.5¢ leo lithium limited

General Discussion, page-8824

  1. 1,240 Posts.
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    Let’s throw some back of the envelope numbers,

    us$1500t current spot price sc6 ( round down to us$1200)
    500ktpa sc6 mined (on round down) stage 1.
    at worst case 29% ownership
    at approx us$400 costs per ton (us$1200 - us$400 = us$800 profit)

    500k / 29% = LLL share = 145ktpa
    145k x us$800 = us$116m profit (aud$177m)

    stage 2 production plannned to commence 12 -18month after first production with a 12 month construction estimate.

    1m production at above figures =
    290ktpa LLL share x us$800 profit = us$232m profit pa(aud$354m profit per annunal aka more profit per year than you believe the company is worth as a whole)

    then add stage 3….
    add hydroxide, M&A etc etc.

    and that’s using your worst case scenarios… variables being slow ramp up (though having a tier 1 partner is something not to be underestimated)
    increase LLL’s holdings in Goulamina or/ and spot price and the profit margin ballons….

    once in production, care and maintenance wouldn’t be considered till under us$400 a tonne… no many lithium companies have that up their sleeve … LTR sure doesn’t

    lastly, full foundered on minimal loans is a massive positive…
    Last edited by Karl89: 13/12/23
 
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