I was one of the earliest sceptics on China here, particularly...

I was one of the earliest sceptics on China here, particularly during their Wolf Warrior phase.

Now i feel the threat has finally gone. Xi has seen his errors. International Investment has plummeted. Youth Unemployment and Families struggling with debt is rife, as well as a continuing to crumble housing market and the oldest population in the world and getting worse. China will see the type of stagflation that Japan saw throughout the 90s, but China's may be deeper and last longer.

All in all, China wont have the money to go to war. They may still find it to be an opportunity if the US backs away from Ukraine and if DT gets in power again. But i put the probability of China doing anything regarding Taiwan as very low - given it would likely lead to swift US sanctions - crippling their economy especially as international investments dries up.