LTM 2.28% $6.42 arcadium lithium plc

General Discussion, page-1110

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    Haven't had time to watch it until now ... Anyone who's a shareholder and has not must do.

    If you also have not listened / watched the two different fireside chats:

    https://bofa.veracast.com/webcasts/bofa/globalagriculture2024/idblLf7j.cfm
    https://app.webinar.net/pBZQ4Wk4DoO


    upload_2024-3-21_21-19-21.png




    So, we have 4 OEMs ( 5 if you include Toyota Tsusho ) who we are supplying to :

    * Ford - through our 50% stake with Nemaska - https://livent.com/press_stories/fo...long-term-lithium-hydroxide-supply-agreement/

    * BMW - https://www.spglobal.com/commodityi...ur285-million-lithium-supply-deal-with-livent)

    * General Motors - https://news.gm.com/newsroom.detail.html/Pages/news/us/en/2022/jul/0726-livent.html

    * Tesla - My own 2 cents with Tesla : Having said that ... there is a possibility in the future that this would end given that Tesla is building its own lithium hydroxide plant.


    Some things I learned :
    Lithium Chloride - There's no market for lithium chloride outside of China.
    Butyllithium - Arcadium has 40% market share, stable earnings
    Fenix / DLE - was undergoing an expansion.

    Other tidbits :

    * Sal de Vida
    - will be 70 to 80% battery grade ( nothing new )
    - can produce lithium chloride to be piped / shipped to Fenix, but probably later down the track ( not immediately ).

    * At a lower pricing environment ( like current ), most of the revenue is from legacy Livent.
    * At a higher pricing environment, most of the revenue will be from legacy Allkem.
    * Lithium hydroxide contracted sells at a premium over spot lithium hydroxide.



    The "delays" / "slow-down" that some are talking about here are a result of the merger ( optimise the assets that are nearby to each other ) slow-down the capital spending, and also due to the current pricing environment :

    Taken from the Q4 2023 presentation :

    upload_2024-3-21_20-38-45.png

    From what I understand:

    Sal de Vida Stage 1 is so far down the process that it will continue "as-is" to completion. What will probably change is what was previously called "Stage 2" of Sal de Vida ( which was supposed to start this CY 2024 as Stage 1 is about finished already as you can see from the sat pics ) will change so they can somehow optimise / combine what was supposed to be "Stage 2" of Sal de Vida with the planned expansion of Fenix ( Phase 1B ).

    Despite the above "slow-downs", the volumes will grow overall:
    * Volume growth in Olaroz
    * Volume growth in Fenix
    * First volumes in Bessemer City USA
    * Ramp-up in China for 2024 - Yes, we have hydroxide facility in China.
    * The only place where volume will be lower is Mt Cattlin. Needs spod to be sold at $1500/t .. specially now that Mt Cattlin is going underground ( the deeper you go, the higher the cost ).

    Compared to some of our peers, the other peers can't afford to slow down because they are single-source / single-asset / single-product / single-region. Arcadium can afford it because we are multiple-source / multiple-assets / multiple-products / multiple regions.

    Taken from the Q4 2023 presentations :

    upload_2024-3-21_20-46-45.png

    upload_2024-3-21_21-3-47.png

    So much more to unpack .. but that's just some of the things I thought were interesting.
    BTW, do you know we have 5 lithium hydroxide plants around the world ?

    OK .. I am off to bed.
 
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