Following a request I received on Twitter, I am providing updated workings on my DCF Model using the below assumptions. The request specifically asked for "More conservative volumes of Concentrate vs Flake" & If I could provide an estimation of Future SP (EPS PE/Ratio).
I would highlight that I have made numerous Assumptions in these workings and the below should be considered general in nature and not financial advice, please always take what you read on HC with a grain of salt and complete your own research !!!
Assumptions
- Stage 1 Throughput of 1.65Mtpa vs Stage 2 of 2.25Mtpa
- 23 Year Mine Life on Current Measured + Indicated Resources (No Inferred Tonnage Utilised in Model)
- No Changes to Benchmark Graphite Pricing from Previous Studies
- Initial CAPEX Increased from US$142m to US$158m (Allowed for Additional +11%)
- Recovery Grades for Concentrate and PSG as per recent announcements
- AUD:USD= 0.72
Outputs Post Tax
- NPV10 of US$1.47B (AUD$2.05B)
- Payback Period of 1.2 Years
- IRR of 78%
- EBITDA LOM US$5.26B (AUD$7.33B)
Potential Share Value / EPS Ratio (2.5 Billion SOI Assumed)
PE 10 - 0.83c
PE 15 - $1.25
PE 20 - $1.66
Following a request I received on Twitter, I am providing...
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