Do we think these scenarios (from AFR) hold any water from 11 Feb 2021 (centred on the demerger case Morganp!)
Wagering and Media - $3.2bn to $3.6bn
Lotteries and Keno - $8.7bn to $11.5bn
Low case = ($3.2bn+$8.7bn) = $11.9bn / shares on issue (~$2.217bn) = $ 5.367 / share (+16.42%)
Mid case (mid of both ranges) = (($3.4bn + $10.1bn) / shares on issue ) = $6.09 /share (+31.1%)
High case = ($3.6bn + $11.5bn) / shares on issue = $6.81 /share (+47.7%)
So, assuming that demerger happens and/or sensible bids - a few cards in hand there - some pretty nice upside cases even at the low case.
DYOR of course.
Get ready for lift off, page-4
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