Shareholders/stockwatchers,
Aus dairy farmgate prices rising, global prices dropping with demand looking soft for lactoferrins.
Will we see a BFC EBITDA forecast adjustment?? Will BFC move to $9.90kgMS - annual cost would be $7.5m. Big HIT.
Latest GDT date,Ex Broker summarising IMF market/s especially China,
Event Results
Global Dairy Trade Event 322 concluded with the GDT Price Index down 3.8%
Key Results
AMF index down 2.2%, average price US$5,675/MT
Butter index down 2.6%, average price US$4,602/MT
BMP not offered
Ched index down 0.7%, average price US$4,801/MT
LAC index not available, average price not available
SMP index down 4.8%, average price US$2,965/MT
SWP not offered
WMP index down 4.0%, average price US$3,246/MTFull results have been published on www.globaldairytrade.info.
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We’ve often argued that the Chinese infant formula market has some of the markings of the famous Siren Songs from Greek Mythology. Lured by the huge insatiable market and equally huge margins only to be smashed on the rocks of an ever changing regulatory environment, the vagaries of plant approvals, government support for local manufacturing, ever changing trends of the Daigou model and finally the intense competition from those others who have heard the same song. Now add the fact the birth rate in China is plummeting and we can add another rocky outcrop that can harpoon the unsuspecting infant formula traveller. One of those recent wrecks was Abbott Labs USA who has had a truly annus horribilis, firstly with the Michigan plant contamination causing a huge product recall (& resulting infant formula shortage) and then a flood at the very same factory. In what can only be seen as throwing their hands up in exasperation Abbott have withdrawn Chinese production of their infant formula and instead focusing on other health products. Another one bites the dust..